Community Corner
Peak Hurricane Season Begins Aug. 15, On Track to Be 'Above Normal'
The National Hurricane Center predicts a 70 percent chance of an "above-normal" hurricane season, with "three to five major hurricanes."
By Patch Editor Mary Ann Barton
The peak of the hurricane season, which begins this week and continues through October, is "on track to be above normal," representatives from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said last week.
The updated outlook calls for a 70 percent chance of an above-normal season. Across the Atlantic Basin for the entire season—June 1 to Nov. 30—NOAA’s updated seasonal outlook (which includes the activity to date of tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian) projects a 70 percent chance for each of the following ranges:
The peak of the hurricane season, which begins this week and continues through October, is "on track to be above normal," representatives from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration said last week.
The updated outlook calls for a 70 percent chance of an above-normal season. Across the Atlantic Basin for the entire season—June 1 to Nov. 30—NOAA’s updated seasonal outlook (which includes the activity to date of tropical storms Andrea, Barry, Chantal and Dorian) projects a 70 percent chance for each of the following ranges:
- 13 to 19 named storms (top winds of 39 mph or higher), including
- 6 to 9 hurricanes (top winds of 74 mph or higher), of which
- 3 to 5 could be major hurricanes (Category 3, 4 or 5; winds of at least 111 mph)
These ranges are above the 30-year seasonal averages of 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
Just ahead of the peak of the hurricane season (mid-August through late October), NOAA National Hurricane Center Director Dr. Rick Knabb and senior hurricane specialist Daniel Brown will answer questions about tracking and forecasting of potentially damaging storms and how best to prepare.
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